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Custom Truck One Source's Strong Q2 2026 Performance and Optimistic Outlook

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This report details Custom Truck One Source's (CTOS) financial performance for the second quarter of 2026, highlighting significant revenue and adjusted EBITDA growth. It also covers the company's strategies for navigating new environmental regulations and its optimistic projections for future market demand and financial stability.

Driving Forward: CTOS Capitalizes on Infrastructure Boom

Q2 2026 Financial Highlights: Stellar Growth Across Key Metrics

In the second quarter of 2026, Custom Truck One Source achieved remarkable financial milestones, with total revenue reaching $563.4 million, marking a 10.2% increase. This surge was primarily fueled by exceptional performance in core market segments and record-breaking equipment sales. The adjusted EBITDA also saw a substantial rise, hitting $116.8 million, a 25.0% year-over-year improvement, reflecting enhanced operational efficiency and stronger rental market conditions. Net income stood at $10.4 million, or $0.05 per diluted share, benefiting from higher operating income and a positive shift in income tax. The Specialty Equipment Rentals (SER) segment contributed $218.8 million in revenue with an adjusted EBITDA of $117.2 million, driven by double-digit growth in both rental income and equipment sales. Meanwhile, the Specialty Truck Equipment and Manufacturing (STEM) segment generated $344.6 million in revenue, with an adjusted EBITDA of $37.2 million, marking a new quarterly high for external customer sales and deliveries. The fleet utilization rate reached an impressive 81.6%, a 400-basis-point increase from the previous year, thanks to unprecedented demand in transmission and distribution utility markets. The on-rent yield improved to 39.4%, an 80-basis-point increase, due to a favorable mix of transmission equipment and disciplined pricing strategies. The quarter concluded with an ending Original Equipment Cost (OEC) of $1.68 billion, the highest in company history, supporting management's optimistic outlook for sustained rental growth.

Strategic Responses to Evolving Regulations and Market Dynamics

Custom Truck One Source is proactively addressing upcoming environmental regulations, particularly the EPA's 2027 NOx standards. CEO Ryan McMonagle acknowledged that these new standards would lead to increased costs for customers but assured that the company is taking all necessary steps to mitigate the impact. CTOS has engaged in chassis pre-buy actions and is strategically managing its inventory to align with anticipated deliveries and emission standard changes. These measures, combined with strong relationships with OEM partners, position the company favorably to navigate the regulatory landscape. Additionally, the company is seeing a shift in market focus, with strong demand in transmission and distribution utility markets largely independent of direct federal funding, though federal programs are expected to boost infrastructure demand in the coming years. This strategic foresight ensures CTOS remains competitive and resilient in a dynamic market environment.

Future Projections and Financial Discipline: Sustained Growth and Deleveraging

Looking ahead, Custom Truck One Source has revised its full-year 2026 guidance upwards, expecting consolidated revenue to range from $2.1 billion to $2.2 billion and adjusted EBITDA to be between $437.5 million and $455 million, representing significant year-over-year growth. The company anticipates levered free cash flow to exceed $50 million for fiscal 2026, driven by planned reductions in inventory and floor plan balances in the second half of the year. Net leverage is projected to improve to 3.85x from 4.02x in the prior quarter, with a long-term goal of achieving a ratio below three times by 2027. Despite a slight decrease in new sales backlog due to record Q2 deliveries, robust intra-quarter order flow and a 26% year-over-year increase in June quoting activity provide strong indicators for continued order intake. The company's young fleet age, averaging just over three years, allows for moderated capital investment while still pursuing growth opportunities. Non-rental CapEx is projected at $40 million to $50 million, primarily for infrastructure and facility maintenance. Management remains confident in the sustained demand for specialized infrastructure equipment, particularly in the T&D sector, which they describe as a potential "once-in-a-generation transmission demand super cycle."

Operational Insights and Segment Performance in Detail

The Specialty Equipment Rental (SER) segment continues to be a cornerstone of CTOS's success, with third-party revenue excluding intersegment sales increasing by 20% year-over-year to $219 million. This growth was spurred by strong double-digit increases in both rental revenue and equipment sales, particularly from RPO activity. The segment's adjusted EBITDA margin expanded to 53%, a more than 700-basis-point improvement from Q2 2025. Key rental performance indicators remained strong, with utilization at 81.6% and average OEC on rent at $1.37 billion. The Specialty Truck Equipment and Manufacturing (STEM) segment recorded its best-ever quarterly third-party revenue of $345 million, a 5% increase over Q2 2025. Although STEM gross margins were slightly affected by increased sales to national accounts, the overall performance reflects healthy market demand. The new sales backlog for STEM stood at $322 million, representing approximately 3.5 months of sales, with strong order growth continuing into Q3.

Market Trends, Pricing Strategies, and Industry Outlook

CTOS executives highlighted the strength of the transmission and distribution (T&D) utility markets as a primary growth driver. CEO Ryan McMonagle emphasized the long-term nature of this demand, referring to it as a "once-in-a-generation transmission demand super cycle," with projects extending into 2027 and 2028. While federal funding packages like the IIJA, IRA, and CHIPS Act are expected to significantly boost the infrastructure sector, their full impact on order flow is anticipated later this year or next. The company's pricing strategy is designed to be competitive while capitalizing on strong demand. The on-rent yield for transmission projects is generally higher than for distribution, contributing positively to overall yield. CTOS saw a 5% price increase implemented at the end of last year and beginning of this year. CFO Christopher Eperjesy noted the target range for new sales gross margin is 15% to 18%, with current performance at the lower end due to high volume and customer mix. The company expects these conditions to persist, providing a stable foundation for future revenue and margin expansion, maintaining gross margins in the mid-70% range for the rental side.

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